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Old 02-01-2018, 08:49 AM   #1
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Super Bowl LII Media Predictions

Not that they matter but they're still interesting to me. So far it's Pats by a mile.

Sporting News.
http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/news...3123gelfddudh6

Vinnie Iyer: Super Bowl 52 should not be a defensive struggle. There are too many ways for both teams to move the ball. Foles will get going with better support from his rushing attack, while Brady will keep letting it rip in the air.
This game has the feel of a back-and-forth affair with neither team starting slow. It probably comes down the last possession, and Brady will need only one final minute to push the Patriots to victory — and the first Super Bowl repeat since they beat the Eagles in Super Bowl 39. Patriots 30, Eagles 27.
SUPER BOWL 2018:
MVP odds | Leaked commercials

David Steele: It seems inconceivable that any defense can stop Brady if he decides he’s not going to be stopped. The Jaguars, ranked at or near the top of every regular-season defensive category, couldn't keep it up when it counted in the AFC championship game; neither could the Falcons in last year’s Super Bowl.
Yet this Eagles defense, fresh off of a lockdown of the Vikings in the NFC title game, has what it takes to finish the job. More important, the Eagles offense, Nick Foles and all, can handle the hard work of keeping Brady off the field, exploiting the Patriots' defense, holding and maintaining a lead, and keeping a foot on the Patriots' throats. The Patriots are historically great, but they’re not infallible, and this will be proof. Eagles 26, Patriots 24.
Tadd Haislop: With multiple coverage looks and extreme talent in the defensive secondary, the Jaguars gave Brady and the Patriots trouble in the AFC championship game before New England pulled off yet another epic comeback. Yes, the Eagles enter Super Bowl 52 with a stout defense, but they don't have the talent in the back seven to contain the Patriots' passing game early the way the Jags could.
Knowing it will struggle to run against Philadelphia, New England will come out firing with its array of receiving options for Brady. The Patriots will build an early lead, which will force Foles and the Eagles into uncomfortable passing situations in catch-up mode for the rest of the game. Patriots 31, Eagles 10.
Matt Lutovsky: Foles looked great against a better defense in the NFC championship game, but it's tough to expect a repeat performance on a bigger stage away from home. The Pats' experience gives them the edge, and their pass rush can apply enough pressure to force Foles into some mistakes. Patriots 30, Eagles 20.
Zac Al-Khateeb: The Eagles have proven themselves capable of beating the Patriots this postseason on both sides of the ball. Philadelphia's defense, led by the D-line, has kept quarterbacks uncomfortable all year and has allowed a paltry 78 rushing yards per game in these playoffs. Foles has looked good in the last two games and heads an offense built to play with a lead.
But the Pats didn't get to their third Super Bowl in four seasons by luck, and they’ll utilize their strengths: a defense that has 11 postseason sacks, four more than second-place Jacksonville, and Brady, who has an NFL-leading five touchdowns this postseason. The Eagles may jump out to a lead, but pressure from the Patriots and another terrific performance from Brady gives New England yet another Lombardi Trophy. Patriots 28, Eagles 24.
MORE SUPER BOWL:
MVP whiffs | Ranking all 51 winners

Bill Bender: If the Eagles can get off the field on third down, then they’ll have a chance. Philadelphia had the third best third-down defense in the NFL this season, and it allowed just 10 of 26 conversions in two playoff games. But this is Brady.
Look for the Patriots to come out aggressive this time and build a lead to put the pressure on Foles. It could be just as tight as the last time these teams met in the Super Bowl, but it will come with an almost identical result. Patriots 30, Eagles 24.
Mike DeCourcy: The peril of making a Super Bowl prediction, or a prediction in any game involving these Patriots, is there's a very good chance you will be 100 percent correct for as much as 58 minutes and still wrong in the end. Think about it. The three biggest games they've played in the last 12 months all involved extremely capable opponents who controlled the action — or in Atlanta's case at last year's Super Bowl, dominated — and found a way to lose in the end: Falcons, Steelers, Jaguars.
In each of those cases, the opposing coaches were guilty of strategic errors that essentially involved underestimating the capability of Brady and his pals to concoct a game-changing comeback. So even if these Patriots are no longer the most impressive or lethal team, they are probably the most resilient team in the history of American sport. Nope. Not falling into that trap. The Eagles might lead Sunday's game, could even dominate, but the Patriots are winning in the end. Patriots 28, Eagles 24.


Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.b6e761f7ddfc

New England wins Super Bowl LII 78 percent of the time, implying a final margin of victory of seven to eight points.

New England Patriots (-5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Winner: New England Patriots, 78 percent
Pick: New England Patriots -5


ESPN

http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2...gland-patriots

Matt Bowen, NFL writer: Patriots. Brady, Belichick and New England's ability to win critical game situations on the league's biggest stage.
Domonique Foxworth, The Undefeated senior writer: Eagles. My head tells me never bet against Brady, but my gut disagrees. My gut tells me that the Eagles will be able to move the ball and score against New England, more than the Patriots will against Philadelphia's defense and special teams.
Mina Kimes, senior writer: Patriots. Foles put up the performance of his career on Sunday. Can we expect lightning to strike twice?
Mike Sando, senior NFL writer: Patriots. I'll take the team with the greatest head coach/quarterback combination in NFL history against the team with its backup QB in the lineup. With Brady, the Patriots have the ability to play from well behind and still win. That separates New England.
Kevin Seifert, national NFL writer: Patriots. No one outsmarts the Patriots, even the Eagles' very formidable coaching staff.
Field Yates, NFL Insider: Patriots. While the Eagles were the most dominant team during conference championship weekend and have a terrific roster from top to bottom, the precision of the Patriots' offense balanced by an ascending and confident defense will propel this team to its sixth Lombardi Trophy.


Mike Clay, ESPN, Patriots
Numberfire, Patriots
Jamie Eisenberg, CBS, Patriots
Harry Lyles, SBNations, Eagles
FiveThirtyEight, Patriots
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Old 02-01-2018, 09:12 AM   #2
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Bill Barnwell
Long and detailed analysis at the link below.

My prediction
If this were the Eagles with Carson Wentz, I'd pick them to win. They're better than the Patriots on both sides of the line of scrimmage, and that played up when the Falcons nearly upset New England last year. That Falcons team had the league MVP playing at quarterback, though, and I'm just not sold that Foles is going to hold up his end of the bargain in carrying the Eagles to victory.
As great of a job as Pederson & Co. have done in sheltering Foles with RPOs and safe throws, this is the same coaching staff who was around Foles during his disastrous end to the regular season and his middling first half against the Falcons, when one of the worst passes of the season bounced off Keanu Neal's body and into the hands of Smith for what ended up becoming a critical field goal.
The Eagles are good enough to give the Patriots a scare, but this should end up as a sixth ring for Belichick and Brady.
Final score: Patriots 27, Eagles 20.


http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2...atriots#SBPick


Madden NFL 18, Patriots 24-20
The simulation predicts Brady to finish with 342 yards passing compared with 241 yards for Foles. Gronkowski has a game-high 107 yards receiving on four catches, while Jeffrey finishes with 98 yards on six catches.

Last edited by chevss454; 02-01-2018 at 09:18 AM..
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Old 02-01-2018, 10:21 AM   #3
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Alexa: Eagles (I'm flying with the Eagles on this one, because of their relentless defense and because of the momentum they've been riding off their underdog status).

nj.com
http://www.nj.com/sports/index.ssf/2...les_vs_pa.html
Connor Hughes:
Eagles 27, Patriots 24
Ryan Dunleavy: Eagles 21, Patriots 20
Darryl Slater: Patriots 27, Eagles 24
Dan Duggan: Patriots 24, Eagles 20
Eliot Shorr-Parks: Eagles 24, Patriots 20
Joe Giglio: Eagles 31, Patriots 30

CBS Sports
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2...double-digits/
Will Brinson:
"Philadelphia is the perfect team to dominate another opponent and they're going to do it in Super Bowl LII" Eagles 28, Patriots 17
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Old 02-01-2018, 11:50 AM   #4
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If half of the people are picking the Eagles, are they still an underdog?
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Old 02-01-2018, 01:10 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Undertaker #59* View Post
If half of the people are picking the Eagles, are they still an underdog?
You're quoting Vince Wilfork again, aren't you? coffee
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Old 02-01-2018, 05:36 PM   #6
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Pats 34 - Eagles 15. I just don't see Nick Foles pulling a Joe Namath. The Best defense the Pats played against were the Jags in the AFC Championship.
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Old 02-01-2018, 05:51 PM   #7
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Quote:
Tadd Haislop: With multiple coverage looks and extreme talent in the defensive secondary, the Jaguars gave Brady and the Patriots trouble in the AFC championship game before New England pulled off yet another epic comeback. Yes, the Eagles enter Super Bowl 52 with a stout defense, but they don't have the talent in the back seven to contain the Patriots' passing game early the way the Jags could.
Knowing it will struggle to run against Philadelphia, New England will come out firing with its array of receiving options for Brady. The Patriots will build an early lead, which will force Foles and the Eagles into uncomfortable passing situations in catch-up mode for the rest of the game. Patriots 31, Eagles 10.
I think this guy is closest
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Old 02-01-2018, 07:45 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Undertaker #59* View Post
If half of the people are picking the Eagles, are they still an underdog?
Maybe half of them?
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Old 02-02-2018, 08:21 PM   #9
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I scrolled through the ESPN predictions and was disappointed to see a rather large slant toward NE. Looking closer to see if anyone predicted a good sized margin of victory, a name jumped out at me immediately.

Mike Reiss.

Mike would be the first person to tell you not to put any stock in his foresight, but that isn't why he piqued my interest. The reason it stood out to me is that Mike strikes me as a fence sitter who will pick a close game when the teams are relative equals. That he didn't makes me think his guess might be fueled by a sense of unique confidence coming from the team.

I'm probably reading way too much into it, but that's what these last few days are for!
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Old 02-02-2018, 08:51 PM   #10
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Faux News gave the Pats 16%...
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Old 02-02-2018, 09:16 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oswlek View Post
I scrolled through the ESPN predictions and was disappointed to see a rather large slant toward NE. Looking closer to see if anyone predicted a good sized margin of victory, a name jumped out at me immediately.

Mike Reiss.

Mike would be the first person to tell you not to put any stock in his foresight, but that isn't why he piqued my interest. The reason it stood out to me is that Mike strikes me as a fence sitter who will pick a close game when the teams are relative equals. That he didn't makes me think his guess might be fueled by a sense of unique confidence coming from the team.

I'm probably reading way too much into it, but that's what these last few days are for!


Some of these scores and who gave them are just weird. Wickersham who got to play the "what story can we use to rattle the pats this year" Writer picked pats 38-9. Golic went the other way, he went 31-10 Eagles. But yeah that score by Reiss is just odd from he usually does.
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Old 02-03-2018, 12:26 AM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Patriots71 View Post
Some of these scores and who gave them are just weird. Wickersham who got to play the "what story can we use to rattle the pats this year" Writer picked pats 38-9. Golic went the other way, he went 31-10 Eagles. But yeah that score by Reiss is just odd from he usually does.
Can't imagine why Golic would pick the Eagles.
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Old 02-03-2018, 05:26 AM   #13
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Reiss knows something.


Here's another compilation
https://www.boston.com/sports/super-...super-bowl-lii
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Old 02-03-2018, 08:01 AM   #14
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Here's to a 6Xful ending to the Patriots' 2017 season
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Old 02-03-2018, 10:06 AM   #15
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Quote:
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Can't imagine why Golic would pick the Eagles.
Oh I know, but that score was a bit...edgy.
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