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Old 02-27-2020, 03:52 PM   #1
Baron Samedi
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Coronavirus

I just thought of something....

You know those Americans that we took back to America from that cruise ship?

Did they fly back on the same plane? They did, didn't they?

Is it just me, or does that seem like a really bad idea for everyone on that plane?
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Who is this self-important instigating douche-bag, anyway?
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Old 02-27-2020, 04:44 PM   #2
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Yep, bad idea.
I had to cancel my archaeological trip to Italy that I do each year. I feel terrible for my students , but needs must.



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Old 02-27-2020, 05:21 PM   #3
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Heading to Maui on Saturday for a couple weeks, last thing we want is to get quarantined for a couple weeks.
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Old 02-28-2020, 05:10 PM   #4
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I blame Stephen King for this.
See you on the other side.
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Old 02-28-2020, 06:22 PM   #5
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I'm not worried about it. A whole lot of unfounded hysteria.
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Old 02-28-2020, 07:34 PM   #6
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Regular flu numbers DWARF this.
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Old 02-28-2020, 07:53 PM   #7
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Originally Posted by patswin View Post
I'm not worried about it. A whole lot of unfounded hysteria.
The CDC estimates that, 18,000 to 46,000 people in the US have died from the flu in the 2019-202 flu season.

Meanwhile the WHO reports 2,858 deaths worldwide due to COVID-19.

Granted the fatality rate is significantly higher for COVID-19, using the # infected vs dead #'s

COVID-19 is fatal in 3.4% cases, and, in the US, it is less than 0.1%.

But that assumes that the # COVID-19 cases is accurately tracked. Since the vast majority of those cases are in China, I'm not sure how reliable their #'s are.

Also, the flu is a well established illness that the CDC, et al, have experience estimating the # of cases based on previous experience and thus use mathematical models to estimate the total # of cases from those that they have actual medical data on, as explained here,

AFAIK, the COVID-19 infection #'s don't do that, but rely on actual data that indicates someone is infected.

So keep that in mind.

But let's do a thought experiment.

Assume that the US eventually develops the same # of cases that China has today (78K), with the same death toll (2.7K).

That's 15% of the deaths on the low end of the estimate for the flu this year.

So which disease should we be worried about again?
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Old 02-28-2020, 11:49 PM   #8
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So which disease should we be worried about again?
The one the TV tells us to?
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Old 02-29-2020, 05:41 AM   #9
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But that assumes that the # COVID-19 cases is accurately tracked. Since the vast majority of those cases are in China, I'm not sure how reliable their #'s are.
FWIW, the Chinese numbers are absolutely not accurate. Early on, when they were reporting updated numbers, the fatalities were 2%, exactly 2%, and stayed at 2%.

Real numbers would have had some variation.
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Who is this self-important instigating douche-bag, anyway?
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Old 02-29-2020, 08:49 AM   #10
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I don't suppose there's any chance the MSM is leaning hard on this nonsense to drive down the market hurt the economy and weaken Trump?

Cheers
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Old 02-29-2020, 09:03 AM   #11
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I don't suppose there's any chance the MSM is leaning hard on this nonsense to drive down the market hurt the economy and weaken Trump?

Cheers
That is precisely what they are doing as well as openly hoping for a pandemic to bring the president down.

Sick bastards.

This was posted just now on FB from someone some of us know.

"Given a choice of the corona virus or four more years of Trump/Pence, I’ll take the corona virus."

Last edited by johnlocke; 02-29-2020 at 10:57 AM..
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Old 02-29-2020, 10:35 AM   #12
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I wish I could take credit for the observation, but I read that the only thing spreading faster than this virus is stupidity.

It's a wide gap too.
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Old 02-29-2020, 10:53 AM   #13
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AOT smashes it in the Humor thread with this:

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Old 02-29-2020, 04:39 PM   #14
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Quote:
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The one the TV tells us to?
Are those the same TV adds that warn us not to take a medication if we're allergic to it?

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Old 02-29-2020, 04:51 PM   #15
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If itís not a big deal, why put Pence in charge of seeing to the US response?

Oh.
Okay, now I get it.


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