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Old 12-12-2018, 07:09 AM   #2476
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Here's the AFC playoff picture today

1. Chiefs (11-2)
2. Patriots (9-4)
3. Texans (9-4)
4. Steelers (7-5-1)
5. Chargers (10-3)
6. Ravens (7-6)

In the hunt:

Colts (7-6)
Dolphins (7-6)
Titans (7-6)
Broncos (6-7)

The 4th and 6th seeds are still wide open with 3 games to go.
Going with the current seedings:
I'm hoping for a Steelers at KC playoff game because the Steelers own KC the way we own the Steelers. With KC out, Pats-Steelers in Foxboro & Pats win the revenge game (figuring Pitt beats the Pats this wkend). I'd be almost just as happy with a Chargers at KC game but I'd rather play Pitt than the Chargers or Texans at this point. We may not be able to avoid the red hot Texans though.

Either way home field advantage is huge.
The Pats are 1-3 on the road in AFC championship game in BB era.
All 3 road losses were to Peyton Manning (Indy once, Denver twice)
Manning doesn't play anymore but we have new kids on the block.
Any team in Foxboro is better than KC in Arrowhead. Home field can still happen. KC is showing cracks just like we are.

Last edited by chevss454; 12-12-2018 at 07:58 AM..
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Old 12-13-2018, 04:24 AM   #2477
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After going 2-4 on Sunday, the Pats are now 27th in the NFL offensively in goal to go situations (65.6 percent). Only the Jags, Texans, Giants, 49ers and Cowboys score at a lower rate.

When you can’t score down by the goal line, it might help to give 6-6 tight end some more targets. Gronk only has 7 red zone targets and two goal-to-go targets. Defenses do pay extra attention to him in the RZ but the Pats/Josh need to find ways to get him the ball.

For comparison, Gronk had 21 red zone targets and 8 goal-to-go targets last season. I understand Gronk isn't the same player he was last year but other teams run picks and trips and such to get guys open. I've seen Sony Michel up the middle going no where more than I like this year in those situations.

If Gronk isn't an answer, Josh has to find the answer before this Sunday because leaving points on the field is the antithesis of Patriot football.
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Old 12-13-2018, 07:23 AM   #2478
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From Matt Chatham The Athletic -

Pay site so I'm posting the entire article



Run D has to improve


For the Patriots, the manifest weakness is clearly an irregular propensity for run-defense meltdowns ó a 50/50 coin-toss occurrence in half of their games. These intermittent ground defensive failures have ranged from needs-to-be-better, to big-time-problem. There are oft-repeated elements of failure in the Pats run defense that have reached the point of needing an urgent fix.
Despite the popular concerns out there that the Patriotsí struggles are grounded in being away from home, the run game defense issues havenít really followed the home vs. away split ó they displayed solid run stopping in the Bears, Bills and Jets games away from Foxboro. Whatís most frustrating in trying to change the unwanted theme from these down defensive outings is that it simply hasnít been predictable when the run defense may disappear, as the three biggest run defense stinkers of the season came against offenses ó the Lions, Titans, and Dolphins ó that have been rather mediocre running the football against other foes.
With all that said, one of the most important steps towards putting together winning gameplans down the stretch is understanding who you are ó warts and all ó and scheming and compensating accordingly. All the other teams have access to your game film. And make no mistake, theyíre paying less attention to your highlights than they are to your shortcomings. If theyíre doing it right, theyíve learned about you every bit as much as you have. This time of year, you have to cauterize your weaknesses through frank and real internal analysis of what those issues are, and quickly fix or hide them.
For this reason, I think itís rather beside the point what the Steelers running game has been doing in recent weeks. Whether or not theyíve succeeded (or focused on) running the ball against other teams, the game film compels them to try the Patriots in this area. Pittsburgh would be foolish not to at least come into the game planning to stay focused more on its own ground game, at least until (or if) New England can force the Steelers out of it. And for the record, the Steelers run game has been basically nonexistent for the last month ó with or without upstart running back James Conner, who did not play last week with an ankle injury.
It may get tiring hearing the repetition of this theme, but ďstop the runĒ is an eternal truth in good defense. Itís never going to change. When itís good, the odds that everything else comes together on that side of the ball are very high. When it isnít good, well, youíll see something similar to what happened to the Pats in Miami.
But you donít just fix the run defense by snapping your fingers. Itís too endlessly broad of an idea ó like pass better, or coach better. You need to come in with a razor blade and pick at the very specific basics that have to change, or else. And thatís what I tried to do with this weekís video breakdown ó rather than making this into a slanted call-out session of particular players, it focuses more on the specific problem areas that have to be addressed or eliminated ó however or with whomever they choose to do it. With that in mind, letís dive in:
1. Defensive tackles not gaining or holding ground at the likely run point of attack

2. Better scheme run-key reads at the middle linebacker position

3. Uncovered center, middle linebacker canít be wrong

4. Canít guess wrong with run pressures

5. ďPlaygroundĒ was fun against Minnesota, but be careful

6. If you do nothing else, hold your gap

7. Off-the-ball players have to be aggressive to the blocking vacancies

8. Double anticipation and holding ground to split the double teams

9. Donít just get in your gap, compress it

I suspect the Patriots coaching staff is wrestling with a lot of these issues. But the greater problem is finding the right combination of guys that can repeatedly perform these basics to eliminate the bothersome gashes in the ground game. Theyíre in the room. Iím curious to see if Danny Shelton gets another shot to play some on the interior; playing doubles and holding gaps is a place he can certainly help. I also wonder whether the struggles on the second level give rise to more use of Dontía Hightower as a middle linebacker, especially given the edge depth with talented guys like Adrian Clayborn and Deatrich Wise playing modest reps in the week when Hightower spends more time outside. From the outside looking in, there seems to be more reliable depth on the outside than with their off-the-ball linebackers.
All in all, the roles are going to need to solidify here quickly with who can dependably do what. The pieces are there, evident just about every other week. Itís the consistency that sorely needs to be found.


https://theathletic.com/711460/2018/...s-run-defense/
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Old 12-13-2018, 07:53 AM   #2479
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chevss454 View Post
Here's the AFC playoff picture today

1. Chiefs (11-2)
2. Patriots (9-4)
3. Texans (9-4)
4. Steelers (7-5-1)
5. Chargers (10-3)
6. Ravens (7-6)

In the hunt:

Colts (7-6)
Dolphins (7-6)
Titans (7-6)
Broncos (6-7)

The 4th and 6th seeds are still wide open with 3 games to go.
Going with the current seedings:
I'm hoping for a Steelers at KC playoff game because the Steelers own KC the way we own the Steelers. With KC out, Pats-Steelers in Foxboro & Pats win the revenge game (figuring Pitt beats the Pats this wkend). I'd be almost just as happy with a Chargers at KC game but I'd rather play Pitt than the Chargers or Texans at this point. We may not be able to avoid the red hot Texans though.

Either way home field advantage is huge.
The Pats are 1-3 on the road in AFC championship game in BB era.
All 3 road losses were to Peyton Manning (Indy once, Denver twice)
Manning doesn't play anymore but we have new kids on the block.
Any team in Foxboro is better than KC in Arrowhead. Home field can still happen. KC is showing cracks just like we are.
Irsay poked his head out of the meth lab in time to watch his boys club the Texans like a fur seal. They arenít that hot.

Quote:
Originally Posted by chevss454 View Post
After going 2-4 on Sunday, the Pats are now 27th in the NFL offensively in goal to go situations (65.6 percent). Only the Jags, Texans, Giants, 49ers and Cowboys score at a lower rate.

When you canít score down by the goal line, it might help to give 6-6 tight end some more targets. Gronk only has 7 red zone targets and two goal-to-go targets. Defenses do pay extra attention to him in the RZ but the Pats/Josh need to find ways to get him the ball.

For comparison, Gronk had 21 red zone targets and 8 goal-to-go targets last season. I understand Gronk isn't the same player he was last year but other teams run picks and trips and such to get guys open. I've seen Sony Michel up the middle going no where more than I like this year in those situations.

If Gronk isn't an answer, Josh has to find the answer before this Sunday because leaving points on the field is the antithesis of Patriot football.
Been saying the same for quite some time. Itís not rocket science. BB, Josh, TB, & Gronk should all have some and watch the Ben Coates career TD loop.
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Old 12-15-2018, 02:35 PM   #2480
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Originally Posted by Dwight Schrute View Post
Irsay poked his head out of the meth lab in time to watch his boys club the Texans like a fur seal. They arenít that hot.



Been saying the same for quite some time. Itís not rocket science. BB, Josh, TB, & Gronk should all have some and watch the Ben Coates career TD loop.
Thing that is odd, is the pats are scoring a lot of points. I am not sure where they are ranked, but of the teams lower in redzone scoring, none of them are getting many points, so how are we scoring our points?
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