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Old 12-04-2003, 12:33 PM   #11
bideau
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The latest on the potential Delmarvian cylcogenesis event:

Quote:
The extended forecast for this weekend remains a dilemma. Currently, most signs suggest that a significant storm will evolve off Delmarva Saturday. This system might be preceded by a weak wave of low pressure that could transfer a strip of mostly light snow on the South Coast except possibly a mix on the lower Cape late tomorrow. Once a main core of energy emerges over the Mid-Atlantic coast, resultant cyclogenesis will spiral moisture into southern and central New England Saturday. A classic Nor'easter would not be surprising based upon the presence of healthy high pressure in southern Canada contributing cold air coupled with an intense storm south of Nantucket. The consensus of a myriad of computer models is now trending towards a higher impact event here although the ribbon of strongest winds and greatest precipitation remains just offshore. Previous analysis placed the governing upper air low pressure system deeply south out of our territory. Latest indications do not confirm this thinking. As a result, it is prudent to offer a preliminary prediction of a medium-sized snowstorm ie. 3-6" for the metro area with higher amounts possible mainly south of the Mass Pike except over Cape Cod. The ever present caveat is that SLIGHT SHIFTS in the storm track would make a monumental difference in the outcome so bear in mind that this discussion is still subject to revision as we approach the event. It is too premature to pull out all the stops or conversely completely eliminate snow from the forecast until new data is more convincing. It would be more reassuring if most of the computer models were producing similar scenarios.
I don't know about anyone else, but the idea of my favorite weather babe, Melissa Bell, gently whispering this stuff into my ear makes me mildly stimulated
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8/21/06
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